Bureau of Meteorology, Media Release, 9 February 2021

Madden-Julian Oscillation moves into central Pacific

• An Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) pulse over the central Pacific is expected to stall and weaken in the coming fortnight.

• An MJO pulse over the central Pacific typically has little influence on rainfall across northern Australia, with enhanced weather focussed around the South Pacific.

Monsoon to become inactive across northern Australia

• A monsoon trough over northern Australia is expected to break down in the coming days.

• A monsoon break period, with below-average rainfall, is expected to persist for much of the remainder of February.